The principle occasion of UFC Struggle Evening: Wichita will probably be a heavyweight contest between former champion Junior Dos Santos and Derrick Lewis. On the floor, Dos Santos holds a number of spectacular profession putting data, whereas Lewis seemingly has the flexibility to cease a battle at any time. Nevertheless, a deeper take a look at the stats and numbers illuminates another key stylistic tendencies, which might be the distinction on Saturday.
Every little thing you could learn about UFC Struggle Evening: Lewis vs. Dos Santos, which takes place on Saturday in Wichita, Kansas. The fights are on ESPN+, with the primary card beginning at eight p.m. ET, prelims at 5 p.m.
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Most fighters do a majority of their putting at distance, which is outlined as standing and never within the clinch. Dos Santos is actually not an exception. Throughout his UFC profession, 85 % of his important strikes have landed at distance, and he ought to have the benefit within the place towards Lewis. In contrast to the previous heavyweight champion, solely 39 % of Lewis’ landed important strikes have come at distance. He’s far more reliant on his floor putting, which has accounted for 46 % of his important complete.
Not solely does Dos Santos have the benefit when it comes to proportion, he additionally lands extra precisely and at the next charge within the place. At distance, he has landed 47 % of his makes an attempt, and he lands four.05 important strikes per minute. However, Lewis lands solely 35 % of his makes an attempt at distance and only one.07 per minute within the place.
If these tendencies proceed, Dos Santos ought to have a significant benefit when it comes to distance putting. Lewis probably won’t be able to compete in a strike depend battle at vary. To achieve success, he might want to make his pictures matter and doubtlessly drive the competition into different positions.
Sadly for Lewis, one in all Dos Santos’ strengths as a fighter has been his means to maintain fights standing. Throughout his UFC profession, he has efficiently stopped 80 % of his opponents’ takedown makes an attempt. Outdoors of his three-fight sequence towards fellow former champion Cain Velasquez, Dos Santos has stopped 91 % of makes an attempt towards him and been taken down solely thrice.
Whereas Lewis has performed a big portion of his putting on the bottom, he has by no means actually proven dependable takedown means. Throughout his UFC profession, he has landed solely 23 % of his takedown makes an attempt and averaged solely zero.49 takedowns per 15 minutes of battle time. In hispast three fights, he has failed on 4 straight takedown makes an attempt.
Lewis might need success working from the highest place, however he’ll prone to battle to earn that place by way of his takedown recreation. Traditionally, Dos Santos has been capable of drive a standing battle and impose his putting assault.
Prime heavyweight contender Junior Dos Santos is coming off an important win towards Tai Tuivasa in December. Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC by way of Getty Pictures
Dos Santos’ means to land strikes at distance and hold fights standing has helped him construct a decent putting differential (important strikes landed per minute minus important strikes absorbed per minute). After an 18-fight UFC profession, his putting differential at present stands at +1.65, which is above common for ranked heavyweights (+1.24). Dos Santos really absorbs an unusually giant variety of important strikes on a per-minute foundation. At three.13 per minute, he absorbs the second-most important strikes of any ranked heavyweight.
Nevertheless, he makes up for that shortcoming offensively. Dos Santos has landed 1035 important strikes in his UFC profession, which is greater than some other heavyweight within the promotion’s historical past. His four.78 important strikes per minute charge is the fifth highest in UFC historical past.
Lewis lands solely 2.76 important strikes per minute, however he does fairly nicely when it comes to absorbing pictures. He has allowed his opponents to land solely 2.30 per minute, which is fourth finest amongst lively UFC heavyweights. Nevertheless, that quantity is considerably deceptive. Whereas his absorption charge stands out positively, his putting protection is definitely a legal responsibility. He has averted solely 44 % of his opponents putting makes an attempt. Amongst ranked heavyweights, Lewis checks in ultimately place when it comes to that metric. Whereas he has taken benefit of his opponents’ lack of quantity, he has been very hittable.
Lewis’ means to complete might actually be a difference-maker and his path to victory on this battle. Dos Santos has been knocked down in 4 of his previous 9 fights, and he has misplaced all 4 of these fights.
Regardless of clearly having energy putting, Lewis has not been capable of pile up the knockdowns. He has averaged solely zero.49 knockdowns per 15 minutes of battle time. Nevertheless, he has been capable of cease 10 fights with strikes within the UFC. He has averaged solely 41.9 important strikes per KO/TKO victory, which demonstrates the affect of his energy.
On this matchup, the ability will not be confined to 1 fighter. Dos Santos really holds the UFC report for probably the most knockdowns landed by a heavyweight with 13. He has landed zero.90 knockdowns per 15 minutes within the promotion.
Whereas that is probably Lewis’ finest likelihood to take dwelling the victory, three of his 4 UFC defeats have come by way of KO/TKO. His recreation plan will probably revolve round benefiting from alternatives to unleash his energy pictures. Nevertheless, that technique may go away him open and permit Dos Santos to attain the stoppage as a substitute.