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Convention Match Championship Week: Breakdown and Preview of the Prime Conferences

Championship Week is right here. Here’s a breakdown of what to search for this week in school basketball motion.

ACC TOURNAMENT (March 12-16 in Charlotte)

The Favourite: #1 Seed Virginia (full Ken Pom odds). Virginia comes into this event at 28-2 and their solely Kryptonite, Duke with Zion Williamson, is on the opposite aspect of the bracket and except Zion performs at full power shouldn’t be getting again to them over the course of three days.

The Darkhorse: Standing of Zion Williamson’s knee. Look, I may decide one other crew to win it, however this event is about what occurs with Zion. If he doesn’t play, then the bracket appears to be like fully totally different. Syracuse has an opportunity to make a run because the #6 seed. North Carolina’s odds of profitable enhance dramatically.

Key Bubble Recreation: #Eight NC State vs. #9 Clemson, Wednesday at 12 p.m. ET. This one is huge. Each groups undertaking as among the many greatest 45 groups on steadiness, however have a scarcity of massive wins. NC State is Three-Eight towards groups I presently have within the area (together with a win over Clemson at dwelling). Clemson is 2-10 by the identical measure, because of the season-ending win over Syracuse. Winner provides a high quality win, whereas the loser may undergo the identical destiny as Louisville a yr in the past.

 

AMERICAN CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT (March 14-17 in Memphis)

The Favourite: #1 Seed Houston (full Ken Pom odds). Houston ran by the American with solely two losses, and are poised to doubtlessly get a #2 seed within the NCAA Match in the event that they win out.

The Darkhorse: #5 Memphis. They get to play this event at dwelling, giving them a preventing likelihood to tug the upset of UCF within the quarterfinals. They haven’t any likelihood at an at-large however may use the Memphis venue to make a run in Penny Hardaway’s first season.

Key Bubble Recreation: #Three Temple vs. Wichita State/East Carolina, Friday at Eight p.m. ET. Temple may use this one to solidify a bid.

 

BIG 12 TOURNAMENT (March 13-16 in Kansas Metropolis)

The Favourite: #2 Seed Texas Tech (full Ken Pom odds). The Crimson Raiders come into the Large 12 Match on a roll. They received their final 9 video games by a median of 19 factors to get a share of the title with Kansas State.

The Darkhorse: #5 Seed Iowa State. I don’t actually fancy any of the groups beneath the three prime favorites (Kansas State and Kansas, together with Tech). And Iowa State closed the season with three straight losses. But when I have been going to offer any an opportunity to win it, it might be the Cyclones and their massive fan base contingent coming right down to Kansas Metropolis, and the offense clicking once more.

Key Bubble Recreation: #Eight TCU vs. #9 Oklahoma State, Wednesday at 12:30 p.m. ET; #Three Kansas vs. #6 Texas, Thursday at 9 p.m. ET. TCU acquired the large win at Texas however remains to be not secure, and a loss to OSU may sink them. Texas is 16-15 and can’t go into the event at 16-16 as an at-large.

BIG EAST TOURNAMENT (March 13-16 in New York Metropolis)

The Favourite: #1 Seed Villanova (??) (full Ken Pom odds). I’m unsure there’s a favourite, however I assume Villanova to additionally win the event is the most effective guess. They misplaced 5 of the final Eight and nonetheless acquired the highest seed, as a result of Marquette misplaced their final 4 video games.

The Darkhorse: A crew not within the NCAA Match projected area profitable it. If we embody Creighton, who is true on the bubble however in all probability must do work, there’s a 29.Eight% likelihood that a crew that might not make the NCAA Match proper now wins the Large East tourney. That’s increased than the person probabilities of both Villanova or Marquette. It’s a league the place eight of the ten members went between 9-9 and 7-11 in convention play, so count on chaos. The winner of the Xavier/Creighton recreation has a good likelihood of happening to the title.

Key Bubble Recreation: #7 St. John’s vs. #10 DePaul, Wednesday at 9:30 p.m. ET; #four Xavier vs. #5 Creighton at 2:30 p.m. on Thursday. St. John’s has misplaced four of the final 5 video games, all to groups that might be out of the sector. A loss may sink them (although Arizona State mainly did the identical a yr in the past and improbably acquired saved by the Committee). Creighton wants huge wins to separate on the bubble, and should begin with a quarterfinal win over surging Xavier.

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